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Looking into the Crystal Ball

By Elliott H. Gue on Dec. 25, 2013

Investors dealt with their fair share of uncertainty in 2013. Fear peaking this spring after the Federal Reserve announced plans to rein in quantitative easing and the now-familiar game of chicken in Congress that this year resulted in a temporary government shutdown.

But the US economy appears to be on sound footing heading into 2014, which bodes well for equity markets. 

Energy investors endured their fair share of volatility in 2013, with oil price differentials shrinking for a brief period before widening once again.

Here’s our take on what’s in store for 2014 and how to position your portfolio.

The Stories

1. With all 10 of the components that make up the Conference Boards Index of Leading Economic Indicators arguably in an uptrend, the US economic recovery appears to be gaining traction as we head into 2014. Our economic outlook calls for US gross domestic product to grow by about 3 percent next year–bullish news for equities. See US Economic Growth to Accelerate in 2014.

2. The past year brought its fair share of volatility to North American energy markets. Here’s our take on what’s in store for 2014 and how to position your portfolio. See Commodity Price Outlook for 2014.

3. Forget options and trading on margin. Buying a master limited partnership’s general partner is the best way to spice up your portfolio returns–especially in a strong year for equities. See General Appeal.

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