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Elliott Gue knows energy. Since earning his bachelor’s and master’s degrees from the University of London, Elliott has dedicated himself to learning the ins and outs of this dynamic sector, scouring trade magazines, attending industry conferences, touring facilities and meeting with management teams.

Elliott Gue’s knowledge of the energy sector and prescient investment calls prompted the official program of the 2008 G-8 Summit in Tokyo to call him “the world’s leading energy strategist.”

He has also appeared on CNBC and Bloomberg TV and has been quoted in a number of major publications, including Barron’s, Forbes and the Washington Post. Elliott Gue’s expertise and track record of success have also made him a sought-after speaker at MoneyShows and events hosted by the Association of Individual Investors.

Elliott Gue also contributed chapters on developments in global energy markets to two books published by the FT Press, The Silk Road to Riches: How You Can Profit by Investing in Asia’s Newfound Prosperity and Rise of the State: Profitable Investing and Geopolitics in the 21st Century.

Prior to founding the Capitalist Times, Elliott Gue shared his expertise and stock-picking abilities with individual investors in two highly regarded research publications, MLP Profits and The Energy Strategist, as well as long-running financial advisory Personal Finance.

In October 2012, Elliott Gue launched the Energy & Income Advisor, a semimonthly online newsletter that’s dedicated to uncovering the most profitable opportunities in the energy sector, from growth stocks to high-yielding utilities, royalty trusts and master limited partnerships.

The masthead may have changed, but subscribers can expect Elliott Gue to deliver the same high-quality analysis and rational assessment of investment opportunities in the energy patch.

Articles

Tackling the Big Issues

In this issue, we tackle two of the topics about which readers frequently ask: our outlook for crude-oil prices and our assessment of the major integrated oil companies, including which ones are our favorites.

The recent collapse in the price of Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil has investors running scared and trying to figure out exactly what’s going on.

We dig into the complex dynamics driving this trend, from surging North American output and declining US imports of crude to trends in the futures markets and regional oil imports, and explain our near-term forecast for WTI and Brent.

When casual investors think of the energy stocks, one of the Seven Sisters—BP (NYSE: BP) NYSE: BP), Chevron Corp (NYSE: CVX), Eni (NYSE: E), Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE: XOM), Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS B), Statoil (NYSE: STO) and Total (NYSE: TOT)—likely springs to mind.

But these Western energy giants have come in for a great deal of criticism over the past several years, as investors lose patience with the industry’s massive capital investments and limited production growth.

We dig into each of these names, assess their growth prospects, potential to unlock value for shareholders and highlight our favorites.

Updated Oil Outlook

Although near-term trends in energy prices have always been difficult to predict, the boom in US crude-oil output has made regional and global supply-demand pictures even more complex.

Here’s a look at trends in crude-oil markets around the world and where we see prices headed over the next few quarters.

Deepwater Drillers Revisited and an International Update

The most recent boom and bust cycle in the tanker market provides useful insight into the deteriorating fundamentals in the offshore drilling market.

Consider the similarities between Frontline (NYSE: FRO), a formerly high-flying tanker owner, and SeaDrill (NYSE: SDRL), a leading offshore contract driller.

Both companies levered up aggressively and paid a generous dividend. Like Frontline at its peak, SeaDrill offers a double-digit dividend yield, has posted impressive gains over the past several years and remains a popular stock among income investors. Readers also frequently ask me about the name and its prospects.

Moreover, SeaDrill and Frontline both took advantage of surging demand to expand their fleets dramatically and reaped the rewards of a tight supply-demand balance.

Although we don’t expect the market for offshore rigs to collapse in the same manner as the tanker market, an influx of new drilling units has skewed the supply-demand balance in customers’ favor, putting the day-rates that these vessels earn under pressure.

MLP Roundup

Since their inception on Nov. 15, 2013, our MLP Model Portfolios have generated solid returns.

Our Conservative Allocation has delivered an average total return of 29.2 percent over this period, outperforming the 23.1 percent return generated by the Alerian MLP Index.

Meanwhile, Our Aggressive MLP Portfolio has delivered a total return that’s on par with the Alerian MLP Index, as the big gains posted by our turnaround picks have been offset by higher-yielding fare that has lagged the market.

In this issue, we assess each holding’s second-quarter results and update our outlook for their future growth prospects.

Q2 in Review: Aggressive MLP Portfolio

Our Aggressive MLP Portfolio has delivered a total return that’s on par with the Alerian MLP Index, as the big gains posted by our turnaround picks have been offset by higher-yielding fare that has lagged the market.

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  • Live Chat with

    Elliott and Roger on Oct. 30, 2017

  • Portfolios & Ratings

    • Model Portfolios

      Balanced portfolios of energy stocks for aggressive and conservative investors.

    • Coverage Universe

      Our take on more than 50 energy-related equities, from upstream to downstream and everything in between.

    • MLP Ratings

      Our assessment of every energy-related master limited partnership.

    • International Coverage Universe

      Roger Conrad’s coverage of more than 70 dividend-paying energy names.

    Experts

    • Roger S. Conrad

      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor

    • Elliott H. Gue

      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor

    • Peter Staas

      Managing Editor: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor