Last week, North American benchmark crude oil prices hit their highest level since October 2014. And while natural gas has backed off from this month’s peak, the fuel continues to trade a stone’s throw away from its highest price since mid-2008.
These higher commodity prices are the inevitable consequence of years of underinvestment in oil and gas production and infrastructure, which in hindsight really stretch back to when oil traded comfortably over $100 a barrel in mid-2014. Nonetheless, we still expect energy companies to hold the line on spending when they update their guidance over the next few weeks.
Despite some setbacks, Kinder Morgan Inc. (NYSE: KMI) has adapted to where we are right now in the energy price cycle. But effective participation still requires discipline.
Too many small owners lacking critical scale and unprecedented roadblocks to new energy pipeline infrastructure: That’s what was at the core of the unprecedented wave of US oil and gas midstream dividend cuts and bankruptcies of the past few years. Now those same forces are spawning something considerably more positive for investors
There may come a day when US transportation is 100 percent electrified and homes are heated with blended hydrogen. But in the here and now, oil and gas pipelines are essential infrastructure. Exhibit A is the havoc wreaked by the successful hack of systems at the Colonial Pipeline this month.
Even without a repeat of the company’s Q1 windfall, the benefits to Kinder Morgan Inc.’s (NYSE: KMI) underlying business and balance sheet are likely to continue flowing throughout the rest of 2021 and beyond.
Shale exploration and production (E&P) giant, Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE: PXD) announced a deal to acquire privately-held DoublePoint Energy, but the reception on Wall Street has been less than enthusiastic.
Commodity prices are volatile. That means earnings and cash flows of oil and gas producers are as well, including super majors with balance sheets stronger than those of many sovereign nations and high quality operations up and down the energy value chain.
Dividend risk of all companies currently on our Endangered Dividends List.
What we’re expecting in Q3 earnings for all of the companies in our Model Portfolio and on the High Yield Energy List.
Earlier this month, the Petrol Retailers Association (PRA), an organization representing almost 70% of gasoline stations in the United Kingdom, reported that two-thirds of the nation’s stations were out of petrol (called gasoline on this side of the Atlantic).
There have been no dividend cuts since the previous issue of EIA. There are also no additions to the list in advance of the release of Q3 results, which for our coverage universe should mostly be reported in the next three to five weeks.
Elliott and Roger on Oct. 28, 2021
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