Q4 earnings reporting season is moving into high gear. And so far, Energy and Income Advisor recommendations are holding their own despite volatile oil and gas prices, reduced industry-wide spending and generally hostile capital markets.
The bad news is with coronavirus fears pressuring global oil prices, the market isn’t paying much attention to the numbers. Nor do investors appear to be giving a lot of credence to management guidance for 2020 that’s considerably more conservative and therefore achievable, as fears of a global economic slide percolate.
It’s not hard to see the sell-off in oil prices and energy stocks in recent weeks has broadly corresponded to the spike in news interest surrounding the Wuhan Coronavirus. But, here's the good news.
Recently released Q4 results from some giant oil services providers have flashed a clear warning to investors in US midstream energy companies:There’s a sector-wide stress test in progress, and it’s not likely to let up at least until the second half of 2020.
The Alerian MLP Infrastructure Index has dropped more than 20 percent since late July. The chief catalyst for the most recent decline: Growing concern that falling North American rig deployment will stall oil and gas production in 2020.
What’s it going to take for Energy Transfer LP (NYSE: ET) to get a little respect?
Eagle Ford, Texas-based midstream company Sanchez Midstream Partners (NYSE: SNMP) eliminated its quarterly distributions this week after the bankruptcy filing of its largest customer and general partner, Sanchez Energy Corp (OTC: SNECQ). The important question for most energy sector investors now is where the hammer will fall next.
Alliance Resource Partners (NSDQ: ARLP) is cutting its quarterly distribution by roughly -26 percent to 40 cents a unit. That follows management’s release of dismal Q4 results, including declines of -14.8 percent and -28.6 percent in EBITDA, respectively.
Crude oil prices and the broader stock market started out 2020 with a bang – the S&P 500 reached an all-time closing high of 3,329.62 on January 17th while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil prices jumped to $63.27/bbl on January 6, 2020 surpassing the highs set in September immediately following attacks on Saudi Arabian oil infrastructure.
At a time when the US shale oil and gas industry is getting used to living on less, one corner of the energy sector is still red hot: Liquefied natural gas exports. We continue to be unenthusiastic about this group. Here’s our take on the state of LNG.
EnLink Midstream is cutting its quarterly dividend to 18.75 cents per share starting with the February 13 payment, a roughly 34 percent reduction from the previous 28.3 cents. The company is holding in more cash in response to weaker drilling activity in Oklahoma.
We present our sector-by-sector outlook for energy in 2020 and beyond. We should expect global oil prices to generally hold the same trading range of the past few years and this would actually be a positive upside catalyst for energy stocks going forward.
Elliott and Roger on Feb. 27, 2020
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Roger Conrad’s coverage of more than 70 dividend-paying energy names.