Investing Topics: US Economy

Economic Outlook for 2018

By Elliott H. Gue on Jan. 31, 2018

Our call for the US economy to expand by 2 to 2.5 percent in 2017 panned out, thanks to strong growrth in the second and third quarters. We look at historical data and trends in some of our favorite leading indicators to challenge some popular wisdom and develop a nuanced economic outlook for 2018.

Outlook 2016: US Economy and Stock Market

By Elliott H. Gue on Jan. 14, 2016

Wall Street analysts’ consensus estimate for US economic growth appears overly optimistic, while technical indicators suggest that the risk of a bear-market correction in the S&P 500 remains elevated.

Stock Market Outlook

By Elliott H. Gue on Nov. 20, 2015

Narrowing market leadership and other technical indicators suggest an increasing risk that US equities could suffer a sizable correction in the first half of 2016.

Gazing into the Crystal Ball: Views on the Economy, Markets and Commodities

By Elliott H. Gue on Jan. 6, 2015

We lay out our outlook for the US and global economies, equity markets and crude oil and natural gas.

US Economic Growth to Accelerate in 2014

By Elliott H. Gue on Dec. 24, 2013

With all 10 of the components that make up the Conference Boards Index of Leading Economic Indicators arguably in an uptrend, the US economic recovery appears to be gaining traction as we head into 2014. Our economic outlook calls for US gross domestic product to grow by about 3 percent next year–bullish news for equities.

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