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  • Roger S. Conrad

Investing Topics: Contract Drillers

Oil-Field Services and Equipment: Exercise Caution

Despite the recent rally in shares of oil-field service providers, our negative outlook for activity levels in the international market and skepticism regarding the timing and magnitude of a recovery in North America explains why we remain underweight oil-field services and capital equipment. Many of these stocks have rallied too far, too fast and don’t account for overcapacity that remains to be worked off from the boom years.

Key Takeaways from Schlumberger’s Fourth-Quarter Earnings Call

In these uncertain times, Schlumberger’s quarterly conference calls are must-attend events; here are our key takeaways from the last week’s call, our updated thoughts on the oil-field services company as an investment and read-throughs for other energy companies.

The Oil Down-Cycle: Lessons from the Past

US oil prices would need to overshoot the levels supported by prevailing supply and demand conditions to prompt producers to idle rigs and reduce capital expenditures dramatically. Weak balance sheets and higher-cost asset bases will compel some operators to scale back.

This supply response in the US and elsewhere will signal that we’re near the bottom of the commodity cycle. The question investors must ask isn’t whether this will happen, but rather how long this process will take to occur.

IPO Analysis: Ocean Rig Partners LP (NSDQ: ORLP)

Offshore contract driller Ocean Rig UDW has followed SeaDrill and Transocean’s lead and filed an initial registration statement for a master limited partnership that will own rigs that operate under longer-term contracts. We do a deep dive to determine whether Ocean Rig Partners LP is worth your while.

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    Elliott and Roger on Sep. 27, 2022

  • Portfolios & Ratings

    Experts

    • Elliott H. Gue

      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor

    • Roger S. Conrad

      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor