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Investing Topics: Bakken Shale

Upstream Overview: Thoughts on Q2 Results

Within the upstream space, we continue to focus on names with low costs, solid balance sheets, high-quality acreage in the STACK and Permian Basin, and the flexibility to monetize noncore assets or retain cash flow through captive midstream MLPs.

Although our outlook for oil prices and the US energy patch favors an overweight position in core midstream holdings, nimble investors can generate alpha in upstream names by buying when oil prices retreat to the low end of their range and taking some profits off the table when they recover. Timing and stock selection—easier said than done with shorter cycle times—will be critical to producing differentiated returns. Adhering to our Dream Prices can help in this regard.

Upstream Takeover Targets

Some of the biggest winners from mergers and acquisitions activity in the US upstream space have been the acquirers. Deal flow will continue to focus on assets and private-equity outfits monetizing their investments. We prefer names with solid balance sheets and exposure to franchise assets with low production costs; these names will continue to take market share, outperform their and grow their inventories of potential drilling locations.

On the Radar

Shares of many exploration and production companies have rallied too far, too fast. However, investors will profit from exposure to names that can win market share in an environment where crude oil ranges between $40 and $60 per barrel–provided that they bide their time and buy at the right price. We highlight a handful of names to keep on your radar screen.

Oil Prices, Production Volumes and MLP Investment Strategy

The most recent issue of Energy & Income Advisor, Dusting off the Crystal Ball, laid out our outlook for the stock market, the US economy and the prices of oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL) over the coming year. These views shape our strategy for investing in master limited partnerships (MLP) in the near term and for the long haul.

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    Elliott and Roger on Aug. 27, 2018

  • Portfolios & Ratings

    • Model Portfolios

      Balanced portfolios of energy stocks for aggressive and conservative investors.

    • Coverage Universe

      Our take on more than 50 energy-related equities, from upstream to downstream and everything in between.

    • MLP Ratings

      Our assessment of every energy-related master limited partnership.

    • International Coverage Universe

      Roger Conrad’s coverage of more than 70 dividend-paying energy names.

    Experts

    • Elliott H. Gue

      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor

    • Roger S. Conrad

      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor