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Feature Article

Focus On The Permania

The latest additions to the Energy & Income Advisor Focus List have lagged of late, primarily because of the selloff in West Texas Intermediate crude oil. In light of these recent market moves, we we revisit our outlook and investment strategy.

Highlights From The International Portfolio And Coverage Universe

The International Portfolio’s conservative sleeve posted an average total return of 24.2 percent in 2016, while our aggressive picks gained an average of 48.9 percent. Their fortunes have reversed this year: Our conservative holdings have gained an average of 4.9 percent, while our aggressive picks have lost 5.2 percent. This shift reflects investors taking a risk-off approach after last year’s big run-up in commodity-sensitive names. We highlight some of our favorite international stocks for conservative investors as well as a few interesting speculations.

Beyond The Big Four

The bullish case for US oil-field services hinges on accelerating drilling and completion activity helping to relieve the capacity overhang built up during the boom years, potentially setting the stage for a recovery in pricing.

Industry survivors with superior scale and balance sheets have an opportunity to take market share from smaller operators. Oil-field service companies have also slashed costs aggressively, providing earnings leverage to a recovery in volumes.

At the same time, investors must remember that many of these companies operate cyclical businesses and consider the extent to which current valuations have priced in any incremental upside in earnings.

Focus Up

Our Focus List has continued to outperform the S&P 500 Energy Index over equivalent holding periods. Note that we have dropped MPLX LP (NYSE: MPLX) from the Focus List after the stock gained more than 25 percent since early December and traded above our value-based buy target for more than a month.

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  • Portfolios & Ratings

    • Model Portfolios

      Balanced portfolios of energy stocks for aggressive and conservative investors.

    • Coverage Universe

      Our take on more than 50 energy-related equities, from upstream to downstream and everything in between.

    • MLP Ratings

      Our assessment of every energy-related master limited partnership.

    • International Coverage Universe

      Roger Conrad’s coverage of more than 70 dividend-paying energy names.

    Experts

    • Roger S. Conrad

      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor

    • Elliott H. Gue

      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor

    • Peter Staas

      Managing Editor: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor