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Feature Article

RIsk Assessment: US Oil and Gas Producers

When most investors look to profit from the North American energy boom, their thoughts immediately turn to the exploration and production companies and their huge output growth.

However, weaker oil prices mean that this paradigm has shifted; at this stage in the cycle, exploration and production companies will face the challenge of living within their cash flow.

Now more than ever, investors will focus on upstream operators’ balance sheets and rates of return, as opposed to huge production growth.

The Oil Down-Cycle: Lessons from the Past

US oil prices would need to overshoot the levels supported by prevailing supply and demand conditions to prompt producers to idle rigs and reduce capital expenditures dramatically. Weak balance sheets and higher-cost asset bases will compel some operators to scale back.

This supply response in the US and elsewhere will signal that we’re near the bottom of the commodity cycle. The question investors must ask isn’t whether this will happen, but rather how long this process will take to occur.

IPO Analysis: Exmar Energy Partners LP (NYSE: XMLP)

Exmar Energy Partners LP publicly filed its initial F-1 registration statement on Sept. 24, 2014, roughly 10 months after confidentially pre-filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Here’s our in-depth analysis of this master limited partnership and its growth prospects.

IPO Analysis: Hess Midstream Partners LP (NYSE: HESM)

The proposed initial public offering of Hess Midstream Partners LP will monetize Hess Corp’s processing, transportation and terminal assets in North Dakota’s Bakken Shale, a prolific oil-producing play. Here’s our take on the prospective publicly traded partnership.

IPO Analysis: PES Logistics Partners LP (NYSE: PESL)

PES Logistics Partners LP owns a 45 percent interest in North Yard Logistics, an operating company whose cornerstone asset is a rail unloading terminal that can accommodate up to three 120-railcar unit trains per day. Do the risks outweigh the potential rewards for investing in this prospective publicly traded partnership?

IPO Analysis: PennTex Midstream Partners LP (NYSE: PTTX)

PennTex Midstream Partners LP’s initial asset base will consist of gas-gathering pipelines and -processing plants in Northern Louisiana that operate under long-term contracts with primary customer, Memorial Resource Development Corp. Here our take on whether this prospective publicly traded partnership is worth your while.

IPO Analysis: Columbia Pipeline Partners LP (NYSE: CPPL)

Columbia Pipeline Partners LP’s (NYSE CPPL) initial asset base comprises midstream infrastructure accumulated by NiSource (NYSE: NI) when the utility industry consolidated in the 1990s. We highlight our favorite way to add exposure to this growth story.

IPO Analysis: Ocean Rig Partners LP (NSDQ: ORLP)

Offshore contract driller Ocean Rig UDW has followed SeaDrill and Transocean’s lead and filed an initial registration statement for a master limited partnership that will own rigs that operate under longer-term contracts. We do a deep dive to determine whether Ocean Rig Partners LP is worth your while.

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      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor

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      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor

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      Managing Editor: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor