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Feature Article

Seeking High Income Energy

The cheapest source of expansion funds is always internally generated cash. So it’s no great surprise that many energy sector management teams are still choosing to “right size” dividend distributions, rather than issue new debt and equity into what remain largely hostile capital markets.

An Update on Oil Prices

In the December 19, 2018 issue of Energy & Income AdvisorOil: It’s Not 2014,” we took a deep-dive look at the global oil market and came to the following conclusion:

“While it’s tough to catch the proverbial falling knife or call an exact bottom in crude, we believe oil is approaching a crucial bottom and will recover into the first half of 2019. Specifically, we could see Brent rallying back over $70/bbl and WTI reaching the mid $60’s by the second quarter of 2019.

Endangered Dividends List

Amerigas Partners’ (NYSE: APU) merger terms with general partner UGI Corp (NYSE: UGI) imply a roughly 83 percent cut in the dividend when the deal closes. That eventuality has been known by investors for two weeks and is therefore baked into the price. Therefore, while we do advise moving on from Amerigas, the MLP is now off the Endangered Dividends List.

Endangered Dividends List

American Midstream Partners (NYSE: AMID) has received its likely best and final takeover offer from general partner ArcLight Capital Partners LLC. ArcLight last year bid $6.10 per share in cash for AMID units, before cutting it to $4.50 in the wake of disappointing operating results. The newly agreed on offer of $5.25 per unit in cash appears likely to win needed approvals and to close in coming weeks.

Roundtable Part Three: Key Takeaways and Forecasts

Change in the US energy industry has been dramatic over the past decade. Sentiment has shifted from a culture of energy scarcity to one of abundance and the US overtook Russia and Saudi Arabia as the world’s largest oil producer. And, not long ago, you would have been laughed out of a room for predicting that the US would ever export meaningful quantities of oil.

Endangered Dividends

There have been no additional dividend cuts in our three coverage universes since the previous EIA issue. That’s largely a function of timing, as companies are winding up the calendar first quarter and won’t be declaring their next distributions until next month.

However, calendar fourth quarter reporting requires considerably more legal filings. That means it typically takes several weeks longer for many companies to compete filings than it does other times of the year. And the good news is several later reporters did come in with encouraging news and guidance.

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      Balanced portfolios of energy stocks for aggressive and conservative investors.

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      Our take on more than 50 energy-related equities, from upstream to downstream and everything in between.

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      Our assessment of every energy-related master limited partnership.

    • International Coverage Universe

      Roger Conrad’s coverage of more than 70 dividend-paying energy names.

    Experts

    • Elliott H. Gue

      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor

    • Roger S. Conrad

      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor