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  • Roger S. Conrad

Roger S. Conrad needs no introduction to individual and professional investors, many of whom have profited from his decades of experience uncovering the best dividend-paying stocks for accumulating sustainable wealth.

Roger built his reputation with Utility Forecaster, a publication he founded more than 20 years ago that The Hulbert Financial Digest routinely ranked as one of the best investment newsletters. He’s also a sought-after expert on master limited partnerships (MLP) and former Canadian royalty trusts.

In April 2013, Roger reunited with his long-time friend and colleague, Elliott Gue, becoming co-editor of Energy & Income Advisor, a semimonthly online newsletter that’s dedicated to uncovering the most profitable opportunities in the energy sector.

Although the masthead may have changed, readers can count on Roger to deliver the same high-quality analysis and rational assessment of the best dividend-paying utilities, MLPs and dividend-paying Canadian energy names.

Articles

Q1 Earnings and Guidance: Here’s What’s Critical

The prospect of deep cuts in production has sparked a bounce in oil prices. And at least for the moment, crude is trading over $20 a barrel again across North America, with global benchmark Brent in the upper 20s.

The real action, however, has been in energy stocks, which have literally vaulted from last to first in terms of S&P 500 sector performance. The S&P 500 Energy Sector Index is more than 50 above its March 18 low. The super majors-focused NYSE Arca Oil Index (NYSE: XOI) is up 55 percent plus. And the midstream-heavy JP Morgan Alerian MLP Index ETN’s (NYSE: AMJ) has exploded upward more than 80 percent.

None of these indexes are close to erasing year-to-date-losses, let alone declines since this energy down cycle began in mid-2014. But they’re clearly demonstrating the upside leverage survivors will have in the eventual recovery.

Kinder’s Dividend Decision: Prudence, Not Weakness

Back in 2017, financially recovering Kinder Morgan Inc (NYSE: KMI) promised investors three dividend increases. But this week, it offered up a 5 percent lift for 2020, just 20 percent of what was promised. Under normal conditions, I’d view a shortfall like this as a potential warning of underlying business weakness – here’s why in this case, it’s not.

Energy Stocks Off Their Lows, Now What?

It’s still very early days to actually call it a trend. But for at least the last month, energy stocks are actually outperforming oil and gas prices.

That may be temporary. But at least for now, it’s a sharp break from the rule of the past several years. Since oil broke under $100 a barrel back in mid-2014, energy stocks have consistently lagged when oil has jumped. And when the price of the commodity has slipped, they’ve fallen much further and faster.

As a result, energy stocks have finished every mini-cycle of the past six years at lower levels. ExxonMobil’s (NYSE: XOM) March 31 bottom price of $30 and change is its lowest point since 2002.

Endangered Dividends List

Eight companies in our coverage universe have announced distribution cuts since the previous issue of EIA. We expect to see at least a like number by the time the next issue goes to post, as more management teams adjust guidance to sub-$30 per barrel oil. And we’ve accordingly added to the table, which now lists 39 companies from our coverage universes.

Subscribe today to receive a sample issue of EIA
  • Live Chat with

    Elliott and Roger on Jun. 30, 2020

  • Portfolios & Ratings

    • Model Portfolios

      Balanced portfolios of energy stocks for aggressive and conservative investors.

    • Producers and Drillers

      Our take on more than 50 energy-related equities, from upstream to downstream and everything in between.

    • MLPs and Midstream

      Our assessment of every energy-related master limited partnership.

    • International Coverage

      Roger Conrad’s coverage of more than 70 dividend-paying energy names.

    Experts

    • Elliott H. Gue

      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor

    • Roger S. Conrad

      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor