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  • Roger S. Conrad

Elliott Gue knows energy. Since earning his bachelor’s and master’s degrees from the University of London, Elliott has dedicated himself to learning the ins and outs of this dynamic sector, scouring trade magazines, attending industry conferences, touring facilities and meeting with management teams.

Elliott Gue’s knowledge of the energy sector and prescient investment calls prompted the official program of the 2008 G-8 Summit in Tokyo to call him “the world’s leading energy strategist.”

He has also appeared on CNBC and Bloomberg TV and has been quoted in a number of major publications, including Barron’s, Forbes and the Washington Post. Elliott Gue’s expertise and track record of success have also made him a sought-after speaker at MoneyShows and events hosted by the Association of Individual Investors.

Elliott Gue also contributed chapters on developments in global energy markets to two books published by the FT Press, The Silk Road to Riches: How You Can Profit by Investing in Asia’s Newfound Prosperity and Rise of the State: Profitable Investing and Geopolitics in the 21st Century.

Prior to founding the Capitalist Times, Elliott Gue shared his expertise and stock-picking abilities with individual investors in two highly regarded research publications, MLP Profits and The Energy Strategist, as well as long-running financial advisory Personal Finance.

In October 2012, Elliott Gue launched the Energy & Income Advisor, a semimonthly online newsletter that’s dedicated to uncovering the most profitable opportunities in the energy sector, from growth stocks to high-yielding utilities, royalty trusts and master limited partnerships.

The masthead may have changed, but subscribers can expect Elliott Gue to deliver the same high-quality analysis and rational assessment of investment opportunities in the energy patch.


Portfolio: An Update on Strategy

Barring a recovery rally of unprecedented magnitude, it seems certain 2020 will go down as one of the worst years ever for oil and gas stocks, up and down the energy value chain.

Fallout from the pandemic temporarily knocked the bottom out of demand for refined products and fuels and turned a strategic retreat by producers into a full-on rout. And wild campaign rhetoric alleging an impending ban on hydraulic fracturing certainly didn’t help investors’ fear factor.

In Energy It’s Economics over Politics

At first glance, this may seem to be the US oil and gas industry’s darkest hour. The S&P 500 Energy Index’ -46.8 percent year to date return is a stark contrast to the broad S&P 500’s 8.7 percent. The first sector companies to report Q3 numbers have delivered a rather somber outlook. And just days before November elections, the presidential candidate ahead in opinion polls appears to have endorsed phasing out the use of fossil fuels.

It probably won’t surprise you that we see things a bit differently at Energy and Income Advisor. Running down our three coverage universes—“MLPs and Midstream,” “E&P and Services” and “Canada and Australia”—it’s hard not to notice prices and yields for stocks that reflect a worst case scenario of many more dividend cuts and even bankruptcies. And the clear takeaway is that investors are expecting the worst.

We’ve pointed out in the past that negative sentiment is usually at its most extreme at market bottoms. But equally, recovery requires the facts behind the gloom to change enough to bring back buyers.

First Thoughts on Q3 Results.

When you’re gearing up to ride a prospective recovery in a battered sector, it’s critical to be sure you’re riding the swiftest and surest horses. And that means keeping an eagle eye on individual company performance. Here are our initial takeaways from the Q3 earnings reports and guidance updates we’ve seen.

Energy M&A Questions and Answers

After a long hiatus, energy M&A has heated up this year, first with Chevron Corp’s (NYSE: CVX) takeover offer for Noble Energy (NYSE: NBL) and now the proposed merger of equals between Devon Energy (NYSE: DVN) and WPX Energy (NYSE: WPX). Here are our thoughts for long overdue sector consolidation.

NatGas: Another Winter of Disappointment

Record-setting heat across the western US has sparked a surge in cooling demand and threatened large-scale power blackouts in California for the first time in 20 years.

Meanwhile the US Gulf Coast has been hit by significant hurricane activity this year, interrupting natural gas production from the Gulf of Mexico as well as liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports.

Those forces have helped spark a near-doubling in US natural gas prices from multi-year lows in June, a surge that’s understandably caught many investors’ attention. And, there are some longer-term developments, such as the recent decline in associated gas supply due to an historic decline in drilling activity, that could help finally put a floor under this long-suffering market.

Another Winter of Disappointment for NatGas

US natural gas prices enjoyed quite a run this summer, jumping more than 91% from a 25-year low on June 26th of $1.432/MMBtu to a late-August high of $2.743/MMBtu. While that’s impressive, we’d caution about getting bullish on gas this year as we see little chance for sustained upside in US natural gas prices above the $2.75-$3.00/MMBtu range this winter. We continue to see a retest of this summer’s lows in gas, or even worse, as more likely.

Feature article: The Summer of Growth

There’s no doubt it’s been a disappointing summer for energy stocks. Energy stocks were the best-performing group in the S&P 500 from the March 23rd lows through the June 8th peak, soaring 96.5%. However, from June 8th through the present date, energy reversed course, falling about 22.9% compared to a return of just under 9% in the S&P 500.

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  • Live Chat with

    Elliott and Roger on Sep. 27, 2022

  • Portfolios & Ratings


    • Elliott H. Gue

      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor

    • Roger S. Conrad

      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor