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  • Roger S. Conrad

Elliott Gue knows energy. Since earning his bachelor’s and master’s degrees from the University of London, Elliott has dedicated himself to learning the ins and outs of this dynamic sector, scouring trade magazines, attending industry conferences, touring facilities and meeting with management teams.

Elliott Gue’s knowledge of the energy sector and prescient investment calls prompted the official program of the 2008 G-8 Summit in Tokyo to call him “the world’s leading energy strategist.”

He has also appeared on CNBC and Bloomberg TV and has been quoted in a number of major publications, including Barron’s, Forbes and the Washington Post. Elliott Gue’s expertise and track record of success have also made him a sought-after speaker at MoneyShows and events hosted by the Association of Individual Investors.

Elliott Gue also contributed chapters on developments in global energy markets to two books published by the FT Press, The Silk Road to Riches: How You Can Profit by Investing in Asia’s Newfound Prosperity and Rise of the State: Profitable Investing and Geopolitics in the 21st Century.

Prior to founding the Capitalist Times, Elliott Gue shared his expertise and stock-picking abilities with individual investors in two highly regarded research publications, MLP Profits and The Energy Strategist, as well as long-running financial advisory Personal Finance.

In October 2012, Elliott Gue launched the Energy & Income Advisor, a semimonthly online newsletter that’s dedicated to uncovering the most profitable opportunities in the energy sector, from growth stocks to high-yielding utilities, royalty trusts and master limited partnerships.

The masthead may have changed, but subscribers can expect Elliott Gue to deliver the same high-quality analysis and rational assessment of investment opportunities in the energy patch.

Articles

When the Going Gets Tough, Tough Energy Companies Get Going

Roughly half the companies in our Energy and Income Advisor coverage universe have now reported Q4 results—and a more or less equal percentage of our Actively Managed Portfolio and High Yield Energy List stocks.

That still leaves a lot of news and numbers to come in a quarter where mountains of filing requirements tend to delay their release. But from what we’ve seen so far, it’s clear that quality is asserting itself in the energy sector.

Mainly, despite multiple headwinds, the best in class are still thriving as businesses. In contrast, companies with real weaknesses as businesses are imploding, and almost at the same rate they were in 2016 when the price of oil sank to just $26 and change.

Q4 Results and Guidance — What We Learned and What it Means for the Rest of 2020

What’s the most important takeaway from energy sector Q4 results so far? There are still a number of companies yet to report. That means plenty of room for surprises between now and the end of February. As readers can see in the Portfolio discussion section, that’s when the last of our recommended companies will release their numbers and update 2020 guidance.

The Wuhan Coronavirus, Economic Growth and Oil

Crude oil prices and the broader stock market started out 2020 with a bang – the S&P 500 reached an all-time closing high of 3,329.62 on January 17th while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil prices jumped to $63.27/bbl on January 6, 2020 surpassing the highs set in September immediately following attacks on Saudi Arabian oil infrastructure.

Q4 Energy Numbers: Facing Down Low Expectations

A year ago, benchmark oil prices plunged from a high of $75 a barrel in early October to a late December low point of $42 and change. By contrast, Q4 2019 was relatively calm. The North American benchmark hugged the mid-50s before closing out the year in the low 60s.

Despite that relative steadiness, few Wall Street analysts expect favorable earnings comparisons for energy companies with year ago results. One reason is a flood of new associated natural gas supplies hitting the market in 2019, which resulted in Q4 benchmark prices falling to less than half where they traded in the year ago quarter.

But the larger worry weighing on the sector is the pronounced reduction in the national rig count that started in the second half of the year. We’ve commented early and often about North American shale producers’ ongoing conversion to the gospel of generating free cash flow, reversing their long-time practice of maximizing output at any cost.

The State of LNG

At a time when the US shale oil and gas industry is getting used to living on less, one corner of the energy sector is still red hot: Liquefied natural gas exports. We continue to be unenthusiastic about this group. Here’s our take on the state of LNG.

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  • Live Chat with

    Elliott and Roger on Aug. 31, 2020

  • Portfolios & Ratings

    • Model Portfolios

      Balanced portfolios of energy stocks for aggressive and conservative investors.

    • Producers and Drillers

      Our take on more than 50 energy-related equities, from upstream to downstream and everything in between.

    • MLPs and Midstream

      Our assessment of every energy-related master limited partnership.

    • International Coverage

      Roger Conrad’s coverage of more than 70 dividend-paying energy names.

    Experts

    • Elliott H. Gue

      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor

    • Roger S. Conrad

      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor