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  • Roger S. Conrad

Elliott Gue knows energy. Since earning his bachelor’s and master’s degrees from the University of London, Elliott has dedicated himself to learning the ins and outs of this dynamic sector, scouring trade magazines, attending industry conferences, touring facilities and meeting with management teams.

Elliott Gue’s knowledge of the energy sector and prescient investment calls prompted the official program of the 2008 G-8 Summit in Tokyo to call him “the world’s leading energy strategist.”

He has also appeared on CNBC and Bloomberg TV and has been quoted in a number of major publications, including Barron’s, Forbes and the Washington Post. Elliott Gue’s expertise and track record of success have also made him a sought-after speaker at MoneyShows and events hosted by the Association of Individual Investors.

Elliott Gue also contributed chapters on developments in global energy markets to two books published by the FT Press, The Silk Road to Riches: How You Can Profit by Investing in Asia’s Newfound Prosperity and Rise of the State: Profitable Investing and Geopolitics in the 21st Century.

Prior to founding the Capitalist Times, Elliott Gue shared his expertise and stock-picking abilities with individual investors in two highly regarded research publications, MLP Profits and The Energy Strategist, as well as long-running financial advisory Personal Finance.

In October 2012, Elliott Gue launched the Energy & Income Advisor, a semimonthly online newsletter that’s dedicated to uncovering the most profitable opportunities in the energy sector, from growth stocks to high-yielding utilities, royalty trusts and master limited partnerships.

The masthead may have changed, but subscribers can expect Elliott Gue to deliver the same high-quality analysis and rational assessment of investment opportunities in the energy patch.

Articles

NatGas: Another Winter of Disappointment

Record-setting heat across the western US has sparked a surge in cooling demand and threatened large-scale power blackouts in California for the first time in 20 years.

Meanwhile the US Gulf Coast has been hit by significant hurricane activity this year, interrupting natural gas production from the Gulf of Mexico as well as liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports.

Those forces have helped spark a near-doubling in US natural gas prices from multi-year lows in June, a surge that’s understandably caught many investors’ attention. And, there are some longer-term developments, such as the recent decline in associated gas supply due to an historic decline in drilling activity, that could help finally put a floor under this long-suffering market.

Another Winter of Disappointment for NatGas

US natural gas prices enjoyed quite a run this summer, jumping more than 91% from a 25-year low on June 26th of $1.432/MMBtu to a late-August high of $2.743/MMBtu. While that’s impressive, we’d caution about getting bullish on gas this year as we see little chance for sustained upside in US natural gas prices above the $2.75-$3.00/MMBtu range this winter. We continue to see a retest of this summer’s lows in gas, or even worse, as more likely.

Feature article: The Summer of Growth

There’s no doubt it’s been a disappointing summer for energy stocks. Energy stocks were the best-performing group in the S&P 500 from the March 23rd lows through the June 8th peak, soaring 96.5%. However, from June 8th through the present date, energy reversed course, falling about 22.9% compared to a return of just under 9% in the S&P 500.

Resilience and Green Shoots

Natural gas never managed to break $2 per thousand cubic foot and oil prices actually went negative. So Q2 results for energy companies were never going to be pretty. And with Covid-19 uncertainty still a threat up and down the value chain, it’s little surprise second half 2020 guidance has remained cautious.

Nonetheless, we’re seeing unmistakable signs of resilience, as well as the green shoots of recovery. And both are good reasons to buy best in class energy stocks, which continue to offer their most attractive yields in memory.

One of the green shoots is what appears to be the first monthly rise in North American hydraulic fracturing activity in months, with the final count returning to levels not seen since April. July activity has been particularly robust in the Permian Basin. But there are some signs of improvement elsewhere also, including the Anadarko (Oklahoma), Bakken, Eagle Ford (Texas) and Niobrara (Colorado) regions.

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  • Live Chat with

    Elliott and Roger on Nov. 30, 2020

  • Portfolios & Ratings

    • Model Portfolios

      Balanced portfolios of energy stocks for aggressive and conservative investors.

    • Producers and Drillers

      Our take on more than 50 energy-related equities, from upstream to downstream and everything in between.

    • MLPs and Midstream

      Our assessment of every energy-related master limited partnership.

    • International Coverage

      Roger Conrad’s coverage of more than 70 dividend-paying energy names.

    Experts

    • Elliott H. Gue

      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor

    • Roger S. Conrad

      Founder and Chief Analyst: Capitalist Times and Energy & Income Advisor